11 June 2008

NBC Poll straight up question... the Battle of #2

per NBC News... NBC/WSJ Poll: Post-primary bump for Obama

In the head-to-head matchup, Obama leads McCain among African Americans (83-7 percent), Hispanics (62-28), women (52-33), Catholics (47-40), independents (41-36) and even blue-collar workers (47-42). Obama is also ahead among those who said they voted for Clinton in the Democratic primaries (61-19).
Yet among white men — who made up 36 percent of the electorate in the 2004 presidential election — Obama trails McCain by 20 points, 55-35 percent. “That is the reason why this election is close,” Hart notes.


and in the 11th paragraph...
While Obama has a six-point advantage over McCain, that lead expands when New York Sen. Hillary Clinton is added as Obama’s running mate, the poll shows. An Obama-Clinton ticket defeats a GOP one of McCain and former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney by nine points, 51-42 percent.
Twenty-two percent say that adding Clinton as Obama’s vice presidential running mate makes them more likely to vote for Obama in November; 21 percent say it makes them less likely to vote for him; and 55 percent say it makes no difference.


in the 11th paragraph eh? and 22% vs 21% ? does that suggest that the "purely anti-HRC/VP" group is the same size as the "purely pro-HRC/VP" group? and that both groups (even combined) are a minority?